By Lefteris Moutis/ moutis@eurohoops.net
This week we believe in Efes and Fenerbahce that can win Zalgiris and Panathinaikos respectively. Read our tips also for the games Milan-Bayern and CSKA-Cedevita.
The strongest tip this week is the win of Fenerbahce at Istanbul vs Panathinaikos. This game will judge probably the second place of the group standings behind Barcelona and the hosts have the advantage for the victory. The Greens will travel without Mavrokefalidis and Batista isn’t in good shape after his injury. So, Fenerbahce can win by more than 5 points. In addition, both teams use to play more run ‘n gun and it’s likely to score more than 154,5 points. So we bet also to the over.
The game Zalgiris–Efes is crucial for both teams. We think that Efes is closer to the win due to its quality and good level of performances during last weeks. The bookmakers believe that Zalgiris has more chances for the win and we will go against it and also take the advantage of winning the bet even if Zalgiris wins the game by less than 3 points.
CSKA scored 99 points vs Maccabi, 95 vs Unicaja and 95 vs Alba. Will Cedevita prevent the Russians from scoring more than 90 points? Too hard… The Croatians don’t have the quality and the depth in their roster to stop CSKA on road and probably they will allow more than 90 points.
It’s risky but we also believe that Milan and Bayern will score more than 157,5 points. We count on their bad defense, while Bayern has the second worse in the Euroleague (86,7 ppg) and Milan allows also 79,1 points per game.
The betting tips
Milan-Bayern Over 157,5 points
@Sportingbet 1,85
Fenerbahce-Panathinaikos (+5) 1
@Coral 1,91
Fenerbahce-Panathinaikos Over 154,5 points
@Stoiximan 1.90
Zalgiris-Efes (+3) 2
@Coral 1,91
CSKA-Cedevita CSKA Over 90,5 points
@William Hill 1,85