NBA Finals 2025: Key Matchups, X-Factors, and Predictions That Could Decide the Champion

2025-05-30T10:00:32+00:00 2025-06-02T12:36:07+00:00.

Antigoni Zachari

30/May/25 10:00

Eurohoops.net

It’s official—the Oklahoma City Thunder are heading back to the NBA Finals.

By Eurohoops team / info@eurohoops.net

With a commanding 124–94 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals, the Thunder secured their first trip to the Finals since 2012. It’s a major milestone for one of the league’s youngest rosters—and it didn’t happen by accident.

SGA’s Superstar Leap

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was named the Western Conference Finals MVP, and deservedly so. The 25-year-old guard has evolved from All-Star to full-blown superstar. He dropped 34 points in the closeout game, adding 8 assists and 7 rebounds for good measure.

Throughout the series, SGA averaged 31.4 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 5.2 assists, showing incredible poise, shot-making, and leadership. He’s not just the face of OKC—he’s one of the faces of the league now.

Youth Movement in Full Force

This Thunder team, once written off as “too young,” is rewriting that narrative with every playoff game.

  • Chet Holmgren was a force in Game 5, chipping in 22 points and holding down the paint. 
  • Jalen Williams added 19 points, 8 rebounds, and 5 assists, continuing his quiet rise as a two-way glue guy. 
  • Even role players like Isaiah Hartenstein came up big, giving the team quality minutes off the bench. 

OKC now becomes just the third team in NBA history to reach the Finals with a core where all top scorers are under the age of 26.

Who Will They Face?

While the West has been decided, the East is still in progress. The Indiana Pacers lead the series 3–1 over the New York Knicks, but nothing is guaranteed. Game 5 is scheduled at Madison Square Garden, and both fanbases are hungry for their first Finals appearance in decades.

For fans already looking ahead to next season, early Hawks betting odds have surfaced for 2025–26 futures, offering a glimpse into how oddsmakers view Atlanta’s chances after a disappointing campaign.

Regardless of the opponent, the Finals will begin June 6, per the official NBA schedule.

Matchups to Watch

SGA vs. Brunson/Haliburton

Whether it’s Jalen Brunson or Tyrese Haliburton, SGA will have his hands full—and so will they. The backcourt battle will likely be the most explosive matchup of the series.

Chet Holmgren vs. Myles Turner or Mitchell Robinson

Holmgren’s ability to stretch the floor and defend the rim will test either Eastern center. He’s a matchup nightmare for bigs who don’t defend well in space.

Mark Daigneault vs. Rick Carlisle or Tom Thibodeau

Coaching will be critical. Daigneault has pushed all the right buttons this postseason. Can he outmaneuver two of the East’s most experienced tacticians?

X-Factors That Could Tip the Finals

  • Jalen Williams: The young forward has stepped up big time, showcasing his scoring, playmaking, and defensive versatility. His energy and clutch plays have been crucial for OKC’s deep playoff run. 
  • Isaiah Hartenstein & the Bench: Hartenstein’s efficient scoring and rebounding off the bench provide the Thunder with valuable depth and momentum. 
  • Mark Daigneault’s Coaching: The Thunder head coach’s tactical adjustments and trust in his young roster have been key factors in their surprising success.

Early Prediction

If Indiana advances, expect a fast-paced, high-IQ chess match. If it’s New York, brace for a grind-it-out brawl. Either way, Oklahoma City’s cohesion, defensive intensity, and emerging superstar talent give them the edge.

Prediction: Thunder in 6—SGA puts a bow on a breakout postseason with Finals MVP honors.

Final Word

The Thunder have arrived—no more “ahead of schedule” talk. They’re here, they’re real, and they’re four wins away from completing one of the most impressive rebuilds in modern NBA history.

Let the Finals begin.

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